Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.072985 0.086124 0.100823 0.118469 0.139061 0.162316 0.190555
2025-05-25 0.050811 0.067191 0.087565 0.114698 0.149809 0.193636 0.252417
2025-06-01 0.039302 0.056804 0.080442 0.114545 0.162313 0.226648 0.319657
2025-06-08 0.031340 0.048795 0.074042 0.112965 0.171157 0.254567 0.382748
2025-06-15 0.026748 0.044410 0.071511 0.115737 0.185636 0.291257 0.462172
2025-06-22 0.022390 0.039418 0.066986 0.114352 0.193058 0.317756 0.529072
2025-06-29 0.018715 0.034789 0.062136 0.111402 0.197117 0.338924 0.589549
2025-07-06 0.015685 0.030683 0.057413 0.107750 0.199149 0.356547 0.645740
2025-07-13 0.014070 0.028838 0.056297 0.110127 0.211721 0.393119 0.738251
2025-07-20 0.012505 0.026800 0.054476 0.110849 0.221221 0.425152 0.826161
2025-07-27 0.011192 0.025030 0.052872 0.111682 0.230893 0.458377 0.919796
2025-08-03 0.010149 0.023638 0.051788 0.113334 0.242254 0.495864 1.025506
2025-08-10 0.009398 0.022782 0.051739 0.117228 0.258888 0.545968 1.162808
2025-08-17 0.008111 0.020500 0.048325 0.113501 0.259248 0.563796 1.237599
2025-08-24 0.007269 0.019111 0.046660 0.113352 0.267199 0.598003 1.350129
2025-08-31 0.006446 0.017617 0.044521 0.111788 0.271754 0.625446 1.451239
2025-09-07 0.005985 0.016957 0.044243 0.114532 0.286436 0.676398 1.609324
2025-09-14 0.005351 0.015726 0.042382 0.113160 0.291244 0.705829 1.722319
2025-09-21 0.004719 0.014386 0.040041 0.110241 0.291900 0.725768 1.815607
2025-09-28 0.004137 0.013076 0.037574 0.106624 0.290321 0.740221 1.897481
2025-10-05 0.003869 0.012637 0.037373 0.108978 0.304261 0.793433 2.078721
2025-10-12 0.003564 0.012029 0.036610 0.109693 0.314001 0.837376 2.241850
2025-10-19 0.003292 0.011476 0.035921 0.110517 0.324141 0.883420 2.415266